Analysis & Forecast

Kamil Askerkhanov11.11.2026

Over the past several days, I have undertaken an interesting survey of the global media landscape, examining coverage by leading American, British, European, Russian, and Asian news organizations. What interested me most was not simply what these outlets were reporting, but how their agendas were changing: which subjects were gaining prominence, which questions were moving […]

Kamil Askerkhanov29.10.2026

With so much contradictory information circulating about the October 27 telephone conversation between Finnish President Alexander Stubb, Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, and Russian President Vladimir Putin, a few things are worth clarifying. First, Stubb and Støre were not speaking on behalf of the European Union. Not in the slightest. The official statement went […]

Michael Demurin28.10.2026

To understand the “Dmitriev channel” in Russia’s relations with the United States, it is worth looking back at the Soviet Union’s response to the Marshall Plan. The publicly reported results of Kirill Dmitriev’s visit to the United States reveal little that is fundamentally new. Yet the issues discussed, and the terms in which they were […]

Kamil Askerkhanov22.10.2026

Is a struggle for influence inside Ankara reshaping Turkey’s place in a changing world order? Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan recently issued a striking warning. Great nations, he suggested, face great trials, and Turkey once again finds itself at the center of a broader geopolitical struggle. He cautioned that forces seeking to divide the region […]

Kamil Askerkhanov18.10.2026

The conflict in Ukraine is inexorably approaching its end. Yet the cessation of hostilities will leave behind questions far more complicated than those currently being discussed at the negotiating table. What political order will emerge in the region? Where will new borders be drawn? And what security architecture will take shape amid the ruins of […]

Kamil Askerkhanov02.09.2026

Perhaps the most interesting question about artificial intelligence today is not what it can do, but how those in power intend to govern a system that is gradually beginning to make decisions in place of the people they appointed to make them. That last point deserves closer attention. For the problem of AI ultimately has […]

Kamil Askerkhanov23.08.2026

The farther the story of Israel’s strikes in Syria unfolds, the less it looks like a conventional contest for influence. Israel has, in effect, drawn a line for Turkey: This is as far as Ankara can go. The latest strike on the Abu Duhur air base in northern Syria, coming hours after a Turkish delegation […]

Dmitri Drobnitsky11.08.2026

The more interesting question Is what happens to the Democrats. A Republican Party Leader Bets on November It is hardly unusual for the chairman of the Republican National Committee to argue with a Democratic strategist about who will win the November midterm elections. The more interesting question is this: Can the Democratic Party take power […]

Aleksey Bobrowski11.08.2026

This weekend, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did something increasingly rare in Washington: He said what the administration appears to be trying to accomplish. Bessent, like Vice President J.D. Vance, has a talent for getting to the point. President Trump can be exhausting to listen to. Bessent is worth listening to. Consider the Strait of Hormuz […]

Yuri Chekalin31.07.2026

Everything has converged in this Midwestern state: socialists vs. the establishment, the debate over tariffs, and the battle for the political machinery that has shaped elections from 2020 to 2028. Michigan has long been considered a so-called “swing state” or “battleground state” on the American political map. The way voters cast their ballots here often […]

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The Media Misses the Global Shift

Every Nation for Itself—or the Rat Race Begins

Russia’s American Temptation

Erdoğan’s Warning

Ukraine: From Nation-State to Diasporic Nation

AI and Power

Turkey and Israel: Is a Collision Becoming Inevitable?

The Collapse of the American Two-Party System

No Spin — Just Power

The Battlefield is Michigan

The Media Misses the Global Shift

Dostoevsky’s Paradoxes of Goodness

The Great Financial Reshuffle

The Last Stop. Part Two.