Analysis & Forecast

Kirill Benediktov10.03.2026

Vance or Rubio? Chances and stakes. 1. Neither Vance nor Rubio have announced their participation in the 2028 presidential elections yet. If either of them (or both) do so, it will only be after receiving the appropriate approval from Donald Trump. 2. At the moment, there are no signs that Trump intends to give such […]

Kirill Benediktov03.03.2026

On the third day of the US and Israel’s war against Iran, it can be confirmed that Washington did not plan a pinpoint strike in the “hit-and-run” scheme this time, but was oriented towards a campaign lasting several weeks. Consequently, the risks for Trump, his administration, and the Republican Party as a whole are potentially […]

Kirill Benediktov01.03.2026

“Bombs will fall everywhere. When we’re done, seize your government. It will be yours. This will likely be your only chance in generations,” Trump addressed the Iranian people, standing on the green lawn at Mar-a-Lago. “America stands with you with overwhelming force and destructive power. Now is the time to take your destiny into your […]

Robert Reich28.02.2026

Two forces are stopping sensible regulation of AI. He’s one of them. Which is more important to you? Allowing Pete Hegseth to use artificial intelligence (AI) however he wants, OR preventing AI from doing mass surveillance of Americans and creating lethal weapons without human oversight? That’s the stark choice posed by the intensifying fight between […]

Vladimir Morozov31.01.2026

Colleagues note the growing Russophobia in Europe: “The best argument for European politicians is the “Russian threat”. They invented it themselves…” However, this is only partly true. Indeed, the thesis about the alleged impending Russian aggression against NATO is detached from reality, especially against the backdrop of the almost 4-year long Special Military Operation (SMO). […]

Kirill Benediktov17.01.2026

US President Donald Trump told Reuters that Ukraine, not Russia, is blocking a potential peace deal. This rhetoric stands in stark contrast to the position of European allies, who consistently claim that Moscow has “little interest” in ending the war in Ukraine. In an exclusive interview in the Oval Office on Wednesday, Trump claimed that […]

Dmitri Drobnitsky05.01.2026

A bipartisan group in the upper chamber may block military action against Venezuela. Next week, the Senate will vote on a bipartisan war powers resolution aimed at preventing President Trump from continuing military action against Venezuela. The resolution, which would prohibit the administration from engaging in further military action against Venezuela, is a privileged resolution […]

Kirill Benediktov05.01.2026

Who on Trump’s team won and who lost from the Venezuelan invasion? According to the British newspaper The Financial Times, the core of the staff that prepared Operation Midnight Hammer included US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, and CIA Director John Ratcliffe. However, the American website Axios claims that Trump’s […]

Kirill Benediktov18.12.2025

A New York Times article about a draft US-European peace plan allegedly developed in Berlin reads like yet another psyop in the fight to outsmart Trump. According to this article, two documents providing security guarantees to Kyiv were agreed upon in Berlin. They provide for strengthening the Ukrainian army, deploying European forces on Ukrainian territory, […]

Kirill Benediktov06.12.2025

The new Monroe doctrine and a stick for Europe: the us is rewriting its national security strategy (NSS). A quiet revolution has taken place in the US national security landscape. The document, published yesterday on the White House website, is more than just another strategy, typically updated with each new presidential term. “American strategies since […]

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Who Will Become Trump’s Successor?

Will the Next Target Be Russia?

Trump Goes All-In

Pete Hegseth and the AI Doomsday Machine

Russophobia in Europe

Trump Says: “Ukraine is not Ready for a Peace Deal”

US Senate to Vote on War Powers Resolution

Beneficiaries of Trump’s Venezuelan Invasion

New York Print Hawks

The New US National Security Strategy

Trump, Carney and the Limits of Tariff Power

Stalin’s Great Plan for Transforming Nature

Turkey and Israel: Is a Collision Becoming Inevitable?

The Backwards Clock