Lesson of War

What lesson should we draw from the US-Israel war against Iran: for victory in the SVO, the political elite and the entire nation must assess the current situation as an existential threat to Russia’s existence.

What’s important for us to note today is that Netanyahu explained the reasons for the war as follows: “We are eliminating an existential threat.”

The Israeli political elite views the existence of the Islamic Republic as a threat to its own existence. In turn, the Iranian political elite views the existence of Israel as a threat to its own existence (“Death to Israel”). We’ll leave the explanation of the reasons for this mutual hatred to other experts.

We have a different task: we want to point out that the Russian political elite and civil society still do not realize that the proxy war with the West led by the US on Ukrainian territory is an “existential” threat to the preservation of our state.

Moreover, the authorities are doing everything to lull society to sleep, making no changes in domestic politics and indulging in the ideology of entertainment, consumption, endless festivities, etc. There’s no talk of the necessary mobilization of the entire society at all.

Just like Iran, we are conducting negotiations on a “peace treaty” with the Kiev junta, which the US uses as a cover for preparations for war.

But a new danger has emerged: the CIA, MI-6, and Mossad are undoubtedly working on a special operation to eliminate all of our top leadership, similar to what they did in Iran. There’s no reason to believe that this wouldn’t work in Russia, because all strike means will be detected in advance due to the vast distances and shot down. Experience with attacks on our strategic aviation has shown that this can be done even from within Russia.

But the US has advanced far: they are using Starlink for guidance on UAVs. This means they can use it on all types of cruise missiles. Small “geranium-like” drones can be launched from Russian territory. And Starlink will be activated if necessary.

There’s no doubt that as soon as the Americans calculate the 100% success of their “disarming strike” against our nuclear forces on their computers, such a strike will be launched.

But the war against Iran has shown a new method: eliminating the political leadership of a country with air strikes, counting on internal protests to change the regime.

There’s no reason to believe that the US couldn’t carry out the same operation against Russia. We’ve disgraced ourselves so many times with the so-called “red lines” that we’re no longer taken seriously. They simply don’t believe that we could use even TNW in a “counterstrike”.

The emergence of the technical possibility of eliminating enemy leaders is fueled by two systemic flaws in Russia’s governance:

1. The prevalence of “manual governance” over institutional governance; we can even say that the political elite hasn’t solved the task of building institutions of governance and self-development for the state and society. This is a fatal mistake of the Romanov and Soviet Russian elites that persists to this day. And today, the “Order of the Ruling Bureaucracy” is preoccupied with the opposite task: instead of building institutional governance, it persistently moves towards manual governance, as can be seen in the elimination of the two-level system of local self-government and the excessive administration of the electoral system.

2. There are too many “Russian Westernizers” in Russia’s state governance. The “depth” of the personnel reserve of Russians, nationally oriented officials, is very small (mainly in the security structures).

Our opponents can easily see this from primary material signs: dual citizenship (residence permits) of officials or their relatives; property abroad, accounts, etc.

This situation can’t help but tempt to carry out a special operation to eliminate Russia’s top leadership. The target could be not only our President, but also those individuals who, according to the Constitution, become acting heads of state: Mishustin and Matviyenko. The temptation is too great.

What to do? We need a powerful direct response in two directions:

1. Support Iran with arms supplies (“convince” China);

2. Use TNW to logistically supply weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.